Macro Regime Research.
Quantified.
MSF classifies the U.S. economy across four growth-inflation regimes using FRED data and two statistical models. Daily probability outputs, relative strength readings, and strategy backtests against historically revealed state classifications.
Disinflation, Reflation, Stagflation, Deflation. Derived from FRED growth and inflation indices.
Partial vote and relative strength variants. Per-day probability across all states.
Regime basket returns, rotation strategies, and hit-rate vs. revealed FRED classifications.
Research use only. MSF is a statistical modeling tool. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. All outputs are educational and may be incorrect. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Request team access.